Roger Douglas

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Income Redistribution

Advocates of PAYGO claim:

  • The PAYGO system redistributes income though the benefit formula.
  • Because benefits are a flat amount for all retirees, irrespective of their wage history, the system therefore pays proportionally more, relative to wages, to low-income workers.

In fact:

  • Actual redistribution is often different from what was intended.

Why?

  • Low-income workers often have less education than high-income workers, therefore -
  • They tend to enter the labour force at an earlier age and pay taxes for a longer period than do high-income workers. (Impact of compound interest.)
  • Upon retirement, life expectancy for low-income workers is less than for their high-income counterparts. Maori and Pacific Island people in particular have a lower life expectancy.
  • Indeed, it is possible, redistribution may go in the other direction from low-income workers to high-income workers.
  • Market-based financing does not promote or preclude redistribution.

The Answer - Retirement, Healthcare and Superannuation

Background

  • All of us grow old.
  • Serious ill health, inability to earn an income, a risk rather than a certainty for most of the population, becomes almost inevitable in old age.
  • Earning power often drops to zero. While some costs drop away, bills for healthcare escalate. Many elderly people may even need full-time residential health care.
  • That is exactly the time when we all stand most in need of absolute assurance that care will be there and our dignity will be maintained.
  • Premiums cost money. Higher in the case of health than for other people. Many elderly haven't got it. In any new system what safeguards old people from the scrap heap?

Proposal

  • Quite simply, people, if they want to, keep a share of the tax that currently goes to fund the healthcare and pension of people over the retirement age and save it, approximately $4,000 a year (subject to any claw back provided for under welfare and education). Table 4
  • At age 18 everyone opens an individual savings account. They save the $4,000 (their share of money currently going to retired population).
  • They continue to save until their fund holds at least enough to cover the average healthcare costs and prescribed minimum pension required in retirement.
  • Every person in the country (not impacted by the social welfare claw back provisions would have, in their own name, the money required to guarantee income and health care in retirement).
  • A safety net provision would apply to those who were subject to claw back for most of their working life.
  • Where people died before retirement age, savings including interest, would become part of their estate and pass to their beneficiaries.
  • From retirement age they would use that fund to pay:
    • Their catastrophic healthcare insurance premium and buy any healthcare not covered by that policy i.e. up to 5% of their annual post-retirement income.
    • Buy an annuity or simply live off the income from the fund (if it is large enough to allow this to happen) or part one and part the other.
  • Government would continue to play an important role in the new system as a regulator rather than provider.
  • Those who object to the compulsory nature of the savings scheme should remember this. Money currently is going into a compulsory tax based pay as you go scheme.

Retirement, Superannuation and Health Care - the Transition

  • A transition of at least 35 years is likely to be necessary.
  • People who retire during these 35 years would receive a set percentage of what the government tax paid scheme would have provided plus their own savings. (Table 5)

Comparison between a PAYGO System and a Funded System

Current PAYGO System:

Married (both partners qualify)

$9,700

Single (living alone)

$12,500

Funded System - Income $59,000 ( based on 4% Real + 2% Inflation) Table 6

Variance Family Income

Single living alone

$46,500

Married couple

$98,000

Note

PAYGO benefit subject to inflation adjustment of +2% a year.

Funded System income would erode in real terms by 2% a year.

If you lived to 100, relative income would be:

Married (both partners qualify) -

$19,400

Single (living alone)

$25,000

Funded System Income remains at

$59,000

Major Benefits of Changing to a Funded System

  • Sense of ownership and economic participation that will come to 2 million New Zealanders who currently have no capital or hope of obtaining any.
  • Change in social attitudes that will follow this sense of economic participation.
  • Ability to use Super Fund holdings to change incentives in areas such as Welfare and tertiary education (spending own money not taxpayers).
  • Increase in GDP that will flow from:
    • move back into the workforce by welfare beneficiaries
    • increased savings
  • Increased productivity/elimination of waste in our Health system.
  • A general increase in New Zealanders feeling of economic security and therefore their willingness to be entrepreneurial.

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